Friday, June 24, 2011
What to expect against Mexico
Point is, Donovan should replace Kljestan, but begs the question of who will play the Central Attacking Midfielder position. Bedoya will probably get the start out wide, leaving Donovan or Dempsey to take the middle. I assume Bradley will push Deuce to the CAM and put Donovan out on the left wing. If it were me, I would switch those roles. Deuce loves cutting inside, and remember that Landon played a withdrawn striker through most of the 2002 WC, when he was extremely effective, and caused Mexico all kinds of problems. I think his distribution is better than Deuce, who often tries to get his first (not necessarily a problem, but maybe not the best fit for the CAM position). If it were me (and it's not), my starting XI would look like this:
--------------------------Howard------------------------
Cherudolo ------- Goodson----Bocanegra-----Lichaj
----------------Jones------------Edu--------------------
Bedoya----------------Donovan-------------Dempsey
-------------------------Agudelo-------------------------
I like Edu over Jones as more of a personal preference. I love Michael Bradley's work rate, and his longball distribution is better than Edu's, but that leads to a propensity to give away possession trying to thread the needle on a long ball when shorter higher percentage passes are there waiting for him. I would have Adu, Bradley and Kljestan on the bench waiting to sub for any of the midfielders.
Bob Bradley, however, will probably trot out these guys:
--------------------------Howard------------------------
Cherudolo ------- Goodson----Bocanegra-----Lichaj
----------------Jones------------Bradley----------------
Bedoya----------------Dempsey-------------Donovan
-------------------------Agudelo-------------------------
If we have the game in hand, look for him to bring on Edu and Kljestan as subs for Bedoya and Donovan. Adu could see action if the offense is stagnant or we are behind and need some creativity off the bench. The match probably hinges for the U.S. on two things. First, they have to maintain enough possession to keep the ball out of their own end as described in my previous post about the drawback of the 4-5-1. Second, they HAVE to finish their chances, because they certainly won't be as plentiful as they were against Jamaica or Guadeloupe. Look for both teams to come out trying to draw first blood. The U.S. has to be disciplined against Chicharito and Lichaj and Dolo can contain the opposing midfielders and marauding runs of Giovanni Dos Santos. Mexico probably has the superior talent, but the U.S. can pull this out if they stay disciplined and are sharp on the ball.
Thursday, June 23, 2011
Is Bob Bradley smart, stupid, or lucky?
For the last 5 years we have been treated to almost identical team selections and lineups, regardless of form or the abilities of the starting XI. His teams sit back, play defensively, and he hopes Howard pulls out a couple of world class saves and leans on Donovan or Dempsey to provide a moment of brilliance to get the W. Then came last night's games. Here were the surprises to me, in order of least surprising to most surprising: we continued with the 4-5-1 (not very surprising), Bedoya got the start (mildly surprising given his form), Kljestan got the start (surprising only because of the man he replaced), that when Kljestan was playing poorly he got subbed out at half and didn't get another chance (Bob doesn't usually make halftime subs in big games, preferring to wait til the 60 minute mark or later), Donovan wasn't in the starting lineup (when I saw this I was shocked), and Freddy Adu coming on as a sub without a significant injury having occurred and while the result was very much in doubt (I could not believe my eyes when this happened, it was completely unexpected and made me question everything I knew to be true).
Sure, he stayed true to form in that Howard came up with a couple big saves and it took a moment of brilliance from D&D to get our only goal, but vanilla Bob busted out a little neopolitan last night. The first four things on that list could be explained away as an "if it ain't broke don't fix it" move. The same exact starting XI came out for the Panama game as the Jamaica game. That was a big risk. If we lose this game, everybody is second-guessing him for leaving Landon out of the starting lineup. As a country we have rode Landon Donovan to greatness since the 2002 World Cup. Bob Bradley has gone to battle with LD in his starting XI almost every match since taking over as manager. LD is the all-time leading scorer in USMNT history and has been as dangerous as anyone in the MLS this season. He is the face of the team, he scored the Algeria goal that sent America into euphoria just one year ago. To take this player, who as far as we can tell isn't injured, and tell him to sit on the bench and watch the first half from there surprised everyone, I'm sure even Kljestan, Bedoya, and Landon.
Bob doesn't seem to like change much, but in this case not making a change was in and of itself a really big aberration from what we normally see. But then when Kljestan, seemingly one of Bob's favorites, was a little off in the first half, Bob didn't hesitate. He put Donovan in. I guess it helps to have somebody of Donovan's quality to be able to do that, but still, making a change that early is something we don't often see from Bob except in friendlies. But then when Adu came on for Agudelo I think everyone was shocked. Bob has repeatedly said that he brought Adu in to see how his development is going and how much he has progressed. Adu was left off the 18-man roster for the first two group stage games. He was as far from the field as you could be and still be on the 23-man roster. And yet, there he was at the 64th minute, standing at the half line waiting to come in.
What inspired this change? I'll never know. If Bob wanted to be ultra-conservative as it seemed he was trying to be by sticking with the exact same lineup then how can we explain this decision. Did he actually decide mid-game to change his tactics? Does he actually watch the game from the sideline? I could never tell from that unfocused stare if he was interested in what was going on on the pitch or just considering how cool he looked in his awesome track warmups. But for one night, Bob did what I thought he'd never do. He broke from his normal plan, he made bold moves. And the craziest part is they all worked out perfectly. The lone goal was created on a sweet through ball by Adu (a substitute) to Landon Donovan (a substitute), who put the ball on a rope through one defender's legs to the past two more to Dempsey, who only had to stick out a leg to get it in the back of the net. Deuce understood how great of a ball that was, and I bet if you asked him he would say Donovan deserves credit for the goal more than he does. Have you ever seen the goal scorer defer like that during the celebration to the guy who made the assist? I never have.
I still don't know what to think. For the first time in a while I have hope that this team can progress. Bob really went out on a limb last night. He made unpopular decisions that could get him fired if they turned out wrong because it seems that he felt like they were the best thing he could do. What's more, those changes make sense based on recent performances and form and resulted in a win. I don't often agree with what he does, but in answering my own question. I think last night, Bob got a little lucky, but created some of that luck by being smart. That's two games in a row that I have been impressed with his tactics. I don't think that's ever happened before. It gives me hope. Now let's see if he can do against Mexico.
Wednesday, June 22, 2011
The main drawback of the 4-5-1
UPDATE: Apparently Bob Bradley agrees with me, some of his comments on the 4-5-1 courtesy of ESPN:
"In an ideal world, when you get good movement, the forward is not alone that often," said Bradley. "But there are still ways [in which] other people are moving quickly when necessary to join in and be available so that you aren't just leaving him stranded. One of the things that becomes key to make that happen is you need to be able to move the ball well. If it's a day when you're under pressure, and you've got a lot of guys back, and now when you get the ball you're pressed right away and all you can do is play it up to the forward, he's going to feel like he's on his own. But if it's a day where as a team, you're good with the ball, then there are times when it doesn't really look like one forward."
I guess we agree on one thing at least :)
Altidore is out the rest of the GC
http://www.ussoccer.com/News/Mens-National-Team/2011/06/Altidore-Sidelined-46-Weeks-After-Hamstring-Injury.aspx
4-5-1 vs 4-4-2 Movement off the ball
One of the reasons this worked so well is because we finally were moving off the ball. One of my chief criticisms of the U.S. attack of late is the lack of movement and runs into space to allow for positive buildup towards the attacking third. The U.S. typically filters possession through their holding midfielders Bradley and Jones. In the more structured 4-4-2, as one pushes forward with the ball, the other will drop off to be sure to maintain defensive shape (in this example Jones has the ball and Bradley drops).
This leaves the only options a longer ball to one of the forwards, a long ball to the other side of the field, a short ball to the near side winger, or to turn and drop it to the fullbacks or other holding mid. If they drop the ball, it usually ends up switching sides and filtering back to the holding mids who once again have the same options.
The only 3 attacking options are 2 long balls or a short pass the winger who is then pinned in a similar position without many options going forward. Many people wonder how the U.S. has become so reliant on the long ball, the formation, tactics, and philosophy presented here are the main culprit. Additionally, this leads to stagnation and little off the ball movement. Nobody is in a position to make an incisive run except the other holding mid, but he is duty bound to stay back because vacating the defensive space in front of the center backs is of higher priority than making an attacking run.
Let’s look at the same scenario in the 4-5-1. U.S. wins the ball and it is played to Jones who turns and starts upfield and sees a completely different field in front of him.
The 4-5-1 promotes movement off the ball because it creates natural passing triangles in the midfield and because the extra midfield players are close enough to cover for each other if they make attacking runs. If Dempsey wants to make a run inside, Kljestan has the flexibility to push wide to fill the space he just vacated. Similarly, should Bradley decide to make a through run up the middle of the pitch, Kljestan can simply step a few feet back. The defensive mid who was covering Kljestan is forced to pick up Bradley because his movement toward goal is the greatest threat. This opens up space for Kljestan as he steps a few feet back. If they leave Bradley uncovered, Jones can play a through ball and he is in on the defense. If they cover Bradley, Jones can lay the ball off to Kljestan, who now has space in front of him to advance the ball. If the outside midfielder pushes inside to overload, Donovan can step outside. Jones now has as many short pass attacking options (3) as he had total attacking options in the 4-4-2, and he still has the long ball to the forward or Dempsey as an option. Here’s a diagram of this scenario:
What it boils down to is that the holding mid has more options for short passes that maintain possession than he does in the 4-4-2. Additionally, the pressure relief is a neutral pass in the 4-5-1 (the Kljestan square ball) as opposed to a negative pass in the 4-4-2 (to the withdrawn holding mid or defense). When the majority of the play goes through the holding mid, this multiplicity of options allows for possession and buildup play to occur, and creates a more consistent offense.
Tuesday, June 21, 2011
The USMNT version of the 4-5-1 (a.k.a. the 4-2-3-1)
The difference in the base formation from the 4-4-2 is that we trade a striker for a central attacking midfielder and slide the striker that is left to the middle of the field. Tactically this changes a lot of things for the team. The overabundance of midfielders means that if somebody loses their shape and drifts out of position (whether on purpose to make an attacking run into unoccupied space or pick up an opposing player, or on accident just by being undisciplined) there is at least one midfielder who can cover for them. This leads to a more fluid formation in the middle of the field, where the midfielders are more free to switch positions with each other without as great of a fear of being caught out of position by a counterattack. In the Jamaica game, there were lots of times when Dempsey would cut inside and effectively switch positions with Kljestan or one of the holding mids (Jones or Bradley) would push up into unoccupied space allowing the other to cover the defensive responsibilities. Additionally, the central attacking midfielder (Kljestan, or Holden when he's healthy) provides a link between the defense and the offense that is lacking in the 4-4-2, which decreases reliance on the long ball by filling the gap between the holding mids and the strikers. This creates more options for build-up play to diversify the offensive portfolio.
Monday, June 20, 2011
The USMNT version of the 4-4-2
Let's take a look at the lineup that was used for the first two Gold Cup group games. This is similar to the lineup that Bob Bradley has been using for the past 5 years with a few key exceptions. Those exceptions are that Bocanegra and Oguchi Onyewu have typically played the center back positions with Bornstein or Spector as the left back. When Spector and Bornstein inevitably failed miserably in the important matches leading up to the World Cup and this Gold Cup, the US copes by sliding Bocanegra into left back and replacing him at center back with Jay DeMerit (in the World Cup) or Tim Ream/Clarence Goodson (as seen below in the Gold Cup lineup). Also, Jermaine Jones was only recently allowed to play for the U.S. Maurice Edu or Ricardo Clark have been Michael Bradley's usual running mates in center mid until recently. Without further ado then, the Bob Bradley 4-4-2:
When the US deploys this formation, a couple of the typical deficiencies of the 4-4-2 crop up. Neither Bradley nor Jones (nor Edu) have the greatest distribution skills, which leads to a lot of long balls and lack of possession in the middle of the field. Additionally, none of our forwards are particularly adept at holding up the ball or playing with their back the goal. Both Altidore and Agudelo are more dangerous making through runs and getting the ball in space where they are able to turn and attack towards goal. Altidore certainly has the physical tools to become a superb hold-up striker, but has yet to develop these physical attributes into technical strengths.
Our two best players (although you wouldn't know it necessarily by watching just the Gold Cup), Dempsey (a.k.a. Deuce) and Donovan are deployed on the wings in this formation. Both of them like to make runs into the defense, typically attacking inward rather than spreading the field wide. On the right side of the pitch this works phenomenally. Donovan and Dolo have worked together for so long that they have a great understanding of how to work together and know instinctively what the other is thinking and how to get each other the ball in dangerous positions. The left side however, is a bigger problem.
Deuce loves cutting inside and making diagonal runs at the defense, and does so even more regularly than Donovan. This wouldn't be so much of a problem if we had a serviceable left back who could push into the vacated space, but up until the last two games, left back has been the black hole of the U.S. depth chart. Try as we may to fill it, it has gobbled up whomever we have tried to insert there and left nary a trace. The aforementioned Spector and Bornstein combination had been so inept that Bob Bradley has done his best impression of the Little Dutch Boy by trying to desperately keep us from leaking goals by plugging Bocanegra into the gaping hole in the dyke at left back. The problem is that Bocanegra is a purely defensive peg in a two-way player hole. He has done an admirable job playing out of position, but does not get forward or pose a threat down the wing. The lack of a true left back has left us deficient on the left side for the entirety of Bob Bradley's coaching tenure.
While this isn't necessarily his fault as he can only use the talent pool that is available to him, the formation we play emphasizes this weakness because of Deuce's propensity to float inside rather than stay wide. This has been the case for the last 5 years, and no tactical adjustment has been made to fill in the gap. Eric Lichaj has been an absolute revelation in the Guadaloupe and Jamaica games, and if he can be groomed into the left back role and fill it well against quality opposition, he alone can change the entire dynamic of the US attack. Of course, he plays right back with his club (Aston Villa) and is right-footed so it isn't necessarily the best fit, but it's a better fit than we've seen in a long time on the USMNT.
The strength of this formation is obviously in the central defensive portion of the team. Bradley, Jones, Edu, Goodson, Bocanegra, Demerit, and (until his injury in WC qualifying) Onyewu are all physical tackling machines and do a good job of clogging the middle of the field and forcing the ball out wide and into less dangerous positions. Unfortunately, the attack has always been stunted and inconsistent due to the over-reliance on the long ball. Against lesser competition we find ways to score, but the lack of creative talent apart from Deuce and LD, and inadequate service from the midfielders to the forwards causes us offensive headaches against better opposition. This defensive formation makes us very reliant on set pieces for offense, and had led to a half decade of inconsistent results.
Friday, June 17, 2011
USMNT Tactics: Formations - The 4-4-2
There are more formations in soccer than there are nations in the Gold Cup (don't believe me? Here is the wiki link). I will not take time to detail them all, but I would like to cover some of the options that I have seen employed by the U.S. and some that might better fit our personnel. Therefore, each formation will be a two-part series. The first part will be a basic description of the formation, and the second part will be how it is utilized, or potentially could be utilized, by the USA. Under the current manager, the USMNT has generally employed a classical 4-4-2 composed of two central defenders, two outside backs, two holding midfielders, two wingers, and two forwards. Visually, it looks a little something like this: